Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.04%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.