Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greuther Furth in this match.
-0.18) 
0.02) 
