Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Wehen Wiesbaden win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.
-1.13) 
0.17) 
