SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Nuremberg | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Hansa Rostock | 8 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | SV Sandhausen | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Jahn Regensburg | 8 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 8 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | -5 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hansa Rostock win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hansa Rostock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hansa Rostock | Draw | Magdeburg |
39.82% ( 0.61) | 23.98% ( -0.04) | 36.2% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 61.46% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.16% ( 0.15) | 40.83% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( 0.16) | 63.22% ( -0.16) |
| Hansa Rostock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( 0.36) | 20.7% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( 0.56) | 53.3% ( -0.56) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( -0.23) | 22.49% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.95% ( -0.34) | 56.05% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hansa Rostock | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.2% |
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