Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hansa Rostock win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hansa Rostock would win this match.
-0.21) 
0.18) 
