Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Magdeburg
42.06% ( -0.77)	22.65% ( 0.38)	35.3% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 66.36% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.62% (

-1.85)

34.38% (

1.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.7% (

-2.11)

56.3% (

2.11)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.98% (

-1.05)

17.02% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.84% (

-1.89)

47.16% (

1.89)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

-0.65)

20.02% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.78% (

-1.06)

52.22% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 42.06%

Magdeburg 35.3%

Draw 22.65%

St Pauli	Draw	Magdeburg
2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.37% Total : 42.06%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.3%