SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Hansa Rostock | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | St Pauli | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Nuremberg | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Greuther Furth | 3 | -2 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Magdeburg |
42.06% ( -0.77) | 22.65% ( 0.38) | 35.3% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 66.36% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.62% ( -1.85) | 34.38% ( 1.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.7% ( -2.11) | 56.3% ( 2.11) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( -1.05) | 17.02% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.84% ( -1.89) | 47.16% ( 1.89) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.65) | 20.02% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -1.06) | 52.22% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.37% Total : 42.06% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.3% |
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