SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 59.72% | 22.54% | 17.74% |
| Both teams to score 49.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% | 49.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% | 71.12% |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% | 16.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.61% | 45.39% |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.64% | 41.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.12% | 77.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% 2-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.98% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.07% Total : 59.72% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.86% 1-2 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.74% |
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