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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
May 22, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Max-Morlock-Stadion

Nuremberg
1 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue

Gonther (63' og.)
Nurnberger (30'), Sorensen (43'), Mavropanos (75'), Hack (82'), Frey (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nazarov (51')
Fandrich (76'), Rasmussen (90'), (90')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Nuremberg and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
NurembergDrawErzgebirge Aue
45.94%25.87%28.19%
Both teams to score 51.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96%52.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23%73.77%
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38%22.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76%56.24%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9%33.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31%69.69%
Score Analysis
    Nuremberg 45.93%
    Erzgebirge Aue 28.19%
    Draw 25.87%
NurembergDrawErzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 4.53%
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 28.19%


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