SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 52.65%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 52.65% | 23.16% | 24.19% |
| Both teams to score 56.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% | 43.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.02% | 65.98% |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% | 16.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.66% | 46.34% |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% | 31.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.78% | 68.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.24% Total : 52.65% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-1 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.19% |
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