Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
