Dortmund
5 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Reyna (16', 23'), Reus (26'), Hazard (32'), Bellingham (41')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Hauptmann (37'), Lorenz (86')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Holstein Kiel
50.23%	24.72%	25.05%

Both teams to score 52.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.49%

49.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.46%

71.54%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28%

19.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.26%

51.74%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72%

34.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02%

70.98%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 50.23%

Holstein Kiel 25.05%

Draw 24.72%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Holstein Kiel
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.23%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.24% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.05%