Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a VfL Osnabruck win it was 1-0 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.