SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Dynamo Dresden win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Dynamo Dresden |
| 56.99% | 22.99% | 20.02% |
| Both teams to score 51.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% | 47.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% | 69.86% |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% | 16.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.79% | 46.22% |
| Dynamo Dresden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.24% | 74.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Dynamo Dresden |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 5.92% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-0 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.98% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 6.06% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.54% Total : 20.02% |
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