Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.