SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Preussen Munster had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Preussen Munster win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Preussen Munster |
46.64% ( 0.72) | 22.63% ( -0.13) | 30.73% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 64.49% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.94% ( 0.34) | 36.06% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.84% ( 0.38) | 58.16% ( -0.38) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.07% ( 0.4) | 15.93% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.8% ( 0.73) | 45.19% ( -0.73) |
| Preussen Munster Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( -0.17) | 23.28% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% ( -0.25) | 57.21% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Preussen Munster |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.64% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.73% |
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