SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.27%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
31.44% ( -0.57) | 22.29% ( 0.17) | 46.27% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 66.22% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.03% ( -1.14) | 33.96% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.17% ( -1.31) | 55.82% ( 1.3) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.86) | 21.85% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% ( -1.33) | 55.08% ( 1.32) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( -0.3) | 15.26% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.04% ( -0.56) | 43.96% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.45% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.27% |
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