SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Nuremberg in this match.
| Result | ||
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Nuremberg |
34.18% ( -0.06) | 24.29% ( 0.02) | 41.54% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.31% ( -0.08) | 42.69% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( -0.08) | 65.1% ( 0.09) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0.07) | 24.46% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( -0.1) | 58.9% ( 0.1) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.01) | 20.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( -0.02) | 53.3% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.18% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 41.54% |
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