SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Magdeburg |
44.73% ( 0.32) | 22.98% ( -0.02) | 32.29% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 64.01% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.97% ( 0) | 37.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.78% ( 0) | 59.22% ( -0.01) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( 0.12) | 17.03% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.82% ( 0.22) | 47.18% ( -0.22) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( -0.16) | 22.85% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( -0.24) | 56.58% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.23% Total : 44.73% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.89% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.29% |
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