Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.
0.32) 
-0.02) 
