SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
49.55% ( -0.71) | 22.57% ( 0.13) | 27.88% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.17) | 37.58% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.19% ( -0.18) | 59.81% ( 0.19) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% ( -0.3) | 15.47% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.67% ( -0.58) | 44.33% ( 0.58) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( 0.31) | 25.84% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( 0.42) | 60.81% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.88% |
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