SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Schalke 04 |
53.34% ( 0.01) | 21.4% ( -0.01) | 25.26% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 64.42% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.77% ( 0.04) | 34.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.88% ( 0.04) | 56.12% ( -0.04) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( 0.02) | 13.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.38% ( 0.03) | 39.62% ( -0.03) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.02) | 25.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( 0.03) | 60.9% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-3 @ 1% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.26% |
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