Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.