SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.14%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
36.65% ( 0.13) | 22.9% ( 0.14) | 40.44% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 65.63% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( -0.67) | 35.43% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% ( -0.74) | 57.47% ( 0.74) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( -0.24) | 19.84% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% ( -0.38) | 51.92% ( 0.39) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( -0.39) | 18.13% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.92% ( -0.67) | 49.08% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 40.44% |
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