SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
41.9% ( 0.13) | 23.72% ( 0.12) | 34.38% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 62.03% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.06% ( -0.64) | 39.94% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.7% ( -0.67) | 62.3% ( 0.67) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( -0.21) | 19.38% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.82% ( -0.35) | 51.18% ( 0.35) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( -0.43) | 23.06% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( -0.64) | 56.89% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 41.9% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.38% |
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