SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 0-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Wehen Wiesbaden win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wehen Wiesbaden | Draw | St Pauli |
17.67% ( -0.56) | 19.51% ( -0.62) | 62.82% ( 1.18) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.46% ( 2.02) | 35.54% ( -2.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.41% ( 2.21) | 57.59% ( -2.2) |
| Wehen Wiesbaden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% ( 0.63) | 33.36% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( 0.68) | 69.99% ( -0.67) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.17% ( 0.92) | 10.83% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.09% ( 2) | 34.91% ( -1.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wehen Wiesbaden | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 17.67% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.23)0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 7.26% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 6.61% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 4.03% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 3.68% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.18)1-5 @ 1.79% ( 0.18)0-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.13)2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.87% Total : 62.82% |
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