SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Hannover win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hannover | Draw | St Pauli |
35.52% ( -0.52) | 24.25% ( 0.12) | 40.23% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 60.32% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% ( -0.66) | 42.28% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.31% ( -0.67) | 64.69% ( 0.67) |
| Hannover Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -0.58) | 23.52% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( -0.85) | 57.56% ( 0.85) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( -0.09) | 21.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.02% ( -0.15) | 53.97% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hannover | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.16% Total : 35.52% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.23% |
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