Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.