Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Haka had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
