Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Honka had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
