Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for TPS had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a TPS win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.