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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 8
Nov 4, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Tammela Stadium

Ilves
4 - 1
Honka

Stjopin (27', 41'), Skytta (73'), Veteli (78')
Stjopin (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Martin (10')
Hatakka (57'), Savage (76'), Heikkila (82')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and Honka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Honka had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawHonka
45.09%25.2%29.71%
Both teams to score 54.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52%48.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39%70.6%
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49%21.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44%54.55%
Honka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86%30.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72%66.28%
Score Analysis
    Ilves 45.09%
    Honka 29.71%
    Draw 25.19%
IlvesDrawHonka
1-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 29.71%


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