Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Honka had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Honka win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.