Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 43.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for TPS had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a TPS win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ilves in this match.