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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2020 at 2pm UK
Wiklof Holding Arena

Mariehamn
2 - 3
SJK

Backaliden (66'), Ademi (84' pen.)
Buwalda (54'), Sjoroos (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jervis (15'), Ledesma (86'), Hradecky (89')
Jervis (65'), Murilo (86')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between IFK Mariehamn and SJK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.

Result
IFK MariehamnDrawSJK
35.49%27.05%37.46%
Both teams to score 50.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41%54.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06%75.93%
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63%29.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65%65.35%
SJK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12%63.87%
Score Analysis
    IFK Mariehamn 35.49%
    SJK 37.46%
    Draw 27.05%
IFK MariehamnDrawSJK
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.21%
3-1 @ 3.21%
3-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.48%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.46%


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