Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.