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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Lahden Stadion

Lahti
3 - 1
Mariehamn

Imbongo (63', 73'), Assehnoun (90+2')
Jantti (52'), Rakovsky (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Makrillos (20')
Sumusalo (70'), Maenpaa (80')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Lahti and IFK Mariehamn.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.

Result
LahtiDrawIFK Mariehamn
45.09%24.85%30.06%
Both teams to score 56.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22%46.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96%69.04%
Lahti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.47%
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97%29.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06%64.94%
Score Analysis
    Lahti 45.09%
    IFK Mariehamn 30.06%
    Draw 24.84%
LahtiDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 9.48%
2-1 @ 9.21%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.06%


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