Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Haka had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.