Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Haka had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.