Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for KuPS in this match.