Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
