SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Ekenas IF |
40.89% ( -0.29) | 25.49% ( -0.13) | 33.61% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( 0.69) | 48.33% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( 0.63) | 70.48% ( -0.62) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 0.16) | 23.44% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( 0.23) | 57.45% ( -0.22) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0.6) | 27.49% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% ( 0.77) | 62.98% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Ekenas IF |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.61% |
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