SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Gnistan |
29.22% ( 0.07) | 23.91% ( 0.06) | 46.87% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( -0.22) | 43.02% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( -0.21) | 65.43% ( 0.22) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.06) | 27.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( -0.08) | 63.27% ( 0.08) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( -0.13) | 18.54% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.22% ( -0.23) | 49.78% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Gnistan |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.22% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 46.87% |
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