SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Oulu |
53.34% ( 0.04) | 22.21% ( 0.02) | 24.45% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.14) | 38.93% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% ( -0.15) | 61.25% ( 0.15) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( -0.04) | 14.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.18% ( -0.07) | 42.82% ( 0.07) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( -0.12) | 29.06% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.02% ( -0.15) | 64.98% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 24.45% |
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