Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
