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Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Aug 11, 2020 at 10.30am UK
AAMI Park, Melbourne
AU

Melbourne City
2 - 2
Adelaide United

Luna (34'), MacLaren (40')
Brillante (3'), Delbridge (32'), Windbichler (66'), Galloway (84'), Berenguer (90'), MacLaren (90+5')
Noone (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fardal Opseth (77' pen.), Halloran (90+1')
Gomulka (90+6')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
50.87%22.71%26.41%
Both teams to score 60.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53%39.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18%61.81%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3%15.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24%44.75%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.46%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 50.87%
    Adelaide United 26.41%
    Draw 22.71%
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 9.58%
1-0 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-2 @ 1.75%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 50.87%
1-1 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-1 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 26.41%


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