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AU
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Jan 3, 2021 at 7.05am UK
Coopers Stadium
MC

Adelaide United
2 - 0
Melbourne City

Juric (66'), Mauk (76')
Jakobsen (48'), Juric (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Metcalfe (19'), Jamieson (55')
Jamieson (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne City
30.03%23.32%46.65%
Both teams to score 61.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25%39.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89%62.11%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47%25.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61%60.39%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65%17.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27%47.73%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 30.03%
    Melbourne City 46.65%
    Draw 23.31%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.23%
1-0 @ 6.05%
2-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.03%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.43%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-1 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 5.42%
0-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.7%
1-4 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 1.74%
2-4 @ 1.62%
Other @ 4%
Total : 46.65%

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