Victory
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Nabbout (86' pen.)
Barnett (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McDonald (56'), Ridenton (78')
Hingert (12')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Brisbane Roar
42.64%	25.2%	32.17%

Both teams to score 56.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57%

47.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36%

69.64%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8%

22.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.39%

55.61%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05%

27.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42%

63.58%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 42.64%

Brisbane Roar 32.17%

Draw 25.19%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Brisbane Roar
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.64%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.17%