Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
