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Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 2, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
PG

Macarthur
2 - 0
Perth Glory

Derbyshire (10', 45' pen.)
Derbyshire (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fornaroli (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawPerth Glory
41.55%23.53%34.92%
Both teams to score 62.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12%38.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8%61.2%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91%19.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3%50.7%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27%55.73%
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 41.55%
    Perth Glory 34.92%
    Draw 23.53%
MacarthurDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-1 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 4.79%
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.92%

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