Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Victory

Stamatelopoulos (18')
Thurgate (66'), Abimanyu (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ryan (48'), Brooks (79')
Butterfield (63'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (81'), Lauton (90+1')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne Victory
50.36%	24.58%	25.06%

Both teams to score 53.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.07%

48.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.98%

71.01%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56%

19.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72%

51.28%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05%

33.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37%

70.63%

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 50.36%

Melbourne Victory 25.06%

Draw 24.57%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.26% Total : 25.06%