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Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Jul 25, 2020 at 8am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington, New Zealand
AU

Wellington
1 - 1
Adelaide United

Sotirio (65')
Piscopo (45'), Fenton (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fardal Opseth (60')
Elsey (34'), Gomulka (61'), Jakobsen (82'), Toure (85')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawAdelaide United
40.8%23.85%35.35%
Both teams to score 61.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.63%40.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.26%62.74%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95%20.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73%52.26%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26%22.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59%56.41%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 40.8%
    Adelaide United 35.35%
    Draw 23.84%
Wellington PhoenixDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.46%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-1 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 35.35%


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